Find the focus, make your work clear.
Find a method for your next update. Make the facts, judgments and next steps clear.
How can you distinguish descriptions, explanations, forecasts and recommendations?
The situation
Fictional scenarioDescription, diagnosis, prediction and prescription answer four different questions. Later stages are not automatically more reliable, and not every update needs a forecast. With limited evidence, the appropriate action may be investigation.
Move from description to a testable action
Compare the categories and the evidence each needs. Classification does not turn a hypothesis or proposal into a fact.
Move from description to a testable action
- 01
Describe · what happened
State definitions, scope and observation.
- 02
Diagnose · why
Connect explanations to evidence and label unproven causes.
- 03
Predict · what may happen under which conditions
Retain assumptions and uncertainty; do not invent probabilities without a basis.
- 04
Act · what to do and how to review
Connect the proposal to evidence, action and an outcome check.
Apply it to your own work
Copy the prompt and add your material to prepare a draft you can adapt.